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Have There Been More Hurricanes In Recent Years Because of Technology?

     Have there been more hurricanes in recent years? Is that from climate change? Or is it just an advancement of technology? The National Hurricane Center's Christopher W. Landsea, Chief of the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch, and Eric Blake, a Senior Hurricane Specialist, studied this topic in a recent article of theirs. About 15 years ago, scientists and researchers found that the number of hurricanes had increased over the past hundred years. But interestingly, during the 1940s and 1950s, there was an increase in short-lived or low-impact storms. At the same time, there were more aircraft over the oceans and the Hurricane Hunters began missions looking for hurricanes.  Last year, nearly 42 trillion dollars of damage were caused by tropical cyclones. This included a record-breaking 13 in the U.S., six of which were in Louisiana. Down in Central America, trillions of dollars in damage was delivered by destructive hurricanes such as Hurricane Iota .  O...
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Snow Looking Likely Wednesday

 The full forecast is available on our regular minyancast site, at https://www.minyancast.com/2020/12/update-rain-monday-snow-likely-wednesday.html. 

Below is a summary and a few graphics.

The next event is Wednesday, which you may have heard about already (see a BJL article here that hypes this up). While some forecasters may give snowfall predictions (4 inches, 6 inches, etc), these are not reliable. Especially where we line up on the rain/snow line, and even in other areas to the west, any predicted totals 4-5 days away will likely be wrong.

Precipitation will likely start out as snow across the area, as temperatures are already in the 20s to start. Cold air will be funneling in from a high pressure area to our north.

"When this transition takes place and where it sets up is the million dollar question in these type of events", the National Weather Service said Sunday morning.

Graphics

Below are some graphics on this system

1pm Wednesday:

Look closely, and we are just barely on the snowy side
7pm Wednesday:
We have rain now
1am Wednesday night:
It is back to snow to finish it off


Accuweather is already predicting 3-6" for our area

There is a good chance the turnout of Monday's rain will help computer models and forecasters understand how the Wednesday storm will turn out.

Sometimes these things just aren't clear until it happens, as we can end up right on the rain/snow line. 

One local meteorologist thinks that "the bulk of the snow impact will be at night and early Thursday morning." This would mean that most of the precipitation is at night, and would be snow.

Summary

  • Monday has no snow accumulations, but maybe some snowflakes mixed in
  • Wednesday storm brings snow or rain/snow in afternoon, and snow Wednesday night
  • Accumulations Wednesday could be 4-6 inches, but too soon to tell
A better picture of what will happen, and how much will come in the next 24 hours.

Hazards

  1. Icy roads possible Tuesday morning
  2. Slippery roads Wednesday, especially in the evening when it gets dark
  3. Snow-covered or icy roads and sidewalks Thursday morning
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     Have there been more hurricanes in recent years? Is that from climate change? Or is it just an advancement of technology? The National Hurricane Center's Christopher W. Landsea, Chief of the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch, and Eric Blake, a Senior Hurricane Specialist, studied this topic in a recent article of theirs. About 15 years ago, scientists and researchers found that the number of hurricanes had increased over the past hundred years. But interestingly, during the 1940s and 1950s, there was an increase in short-lived or low-impact storms. At the same time, there were more aircraft over the oceans and the Hurricane Hunters began missions looking for hurricanes.  Last year, nearly 42 trillion dollars of damage were caused by tropical cyclones. This included a record-breaking 13 in the U.S., six of which were in Louisiana. Down in Central America, trillions of dollars in damage was delivered by destructive hurricanes such as Hurricane Iota .  O...
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